Learn Forex: Technical vs. Fundamental Analysis Showdown and the Yen.
Position Trading based on technical set ups, Risk Management & Trader Psychology.
For new traders coming into the Forex market there can seem to be a battle of fundamental vs. technical analysis of the market. You should combine both. When your views on the currency align based on fundamental and technical data that can be a good time to look for a trade entry.
Here is a breakdown of both types of study and forecast and how it relates to the currency pair of the month, the Japanese Yen.
Fundamental analysis looks at the underlying economic conditions of a financial instrument. It’s difficult to make trades strictly from a fundamental point of view. At the same time, it isn’t impossible. Most people who speculate from Fundamental data alone would call themselves investors or positions traders because there is no clear cut price-based exit point. Fundamental Analysis focuses around the Economic Calendar and Central Bank Announcements.
By studying the pattern or trends in interest rates, jobless claims, and treasury yields to name a few, you can get a grasp on the overall health of the economy and potential direction the currency of the economy will move to next.
Fundamental Analysis and the JPY.
From a Gross Domestic Product perspective, it is in the best interest of the Japanese economy to have the weakest Yen as reasonably possible. Because they are an export based economy, it only makes their goods more expensive to buy when other currencies fall against the Yen.
The Bank of Japan took a drastic step last month in weakening their currency in a manner never before displayed. JPY has been on a constant fight to weaken their currency and improve their economy without the success they sought. Last month, the Minister of Finance & Minister of State for Economic and Fiscal Policy all stated their commitment to weaken the currency and support their export based economy. Also, there is a big election coming up and the front runner, Shinzo Abe of the Liberal Democratic Party is running a Pro-Quantitative Easy campaign which weakens a currency by increasing the supply dramatically.
This economy gives the Fundamental Analyst a lot to chew on. Japan is the third largest economy in the world with a currency changing election coming up centered around economic policy.
The study of price action has become the mainstay of traders as the internet age has merged trading prices being recorded on charts in real time. Traders love technical analysis because of the argument that all news or fundamental analysis is priced into the chart. Price is also the best way to see the emotions and collective behavior behind price and price patterns.
It’s easier to make trading decisions in terms of entries and exits from price action and the historical behavior pattern of prior traders. Technical analysis brings in the actions of people who moves price. Because the people who trade and move prices don’t always act rationally, it’s beneficial to study patterns of past behavior.
Technical trading is like getting into the mind of the market to see what it may likely do next based on historical behavior as opposed to what it should do based on the news alone.
This also give s traders an unlimited of trading opportunities by studying different patterns across different time frames.
Technical Analysis and the JPY.
The Japanese Yen has been on a historical bull run. This means that against every currency pair it trades against, they are all weakening in relation to the Japanese Yen over the last several years.
The USDJPY alone has seen a major move as have a lot of other common pairs against the JPY like the GPBJPY.
GBPJPY Monthly Chart:
Many traders have put their hand on the hot stove of trying to buy the bottom of the Japanese Yen as it falls on the charts. There are green shoot that your attention should be glued to regarding this potential turn around.
If we look at a daily chart, we can see that a multi-year down trend line has been broken. This means a little more than the 200 Day Moving Average because we have seen price break through that line multiple times only to break back down.
The key here is to look for price to start making higher highs and higher lows so that we can see a multi-year trend reversal forming.
It’s often said that one of the best places to be fashionably late but not too late is in trading. In essence you want the trend reversal to prove itself now that it has broken out of this triangle and downtrend.
Convergence of Technical & Fundamental Analysis.
Traders don’t need to worry about whether Technical or Fundamental analysis is better. Rather, combine both to find a time when the fundamental and technical outlooks for a currency come together.
Fundamentally, we have a game changing election and coordinated front to weaken the Japanese currency that has in prior times only been focused on the Bank of Japan.
Technically, we see a multi-year trend line that has broken to the upside showing that the Yen is weakening. We recommend letting this move play out before getting into a position if you feel it is right for you.
Whether or not the trade is right for you, we always recommend appropriate trade size and risk management be utilized.
---Written by Tyler Yell, Trading Instructor.
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Fundamental Analysis.
Fundamental analysis is a way of looking at the forex market by analyzing economic, social, and political forces that may affect the supply and demand of an asset.
If you think about it, this makes a whole lot of sense! Just like in your Economics 101 class, it is supply and demand that determines price, or in our case, the currency exchange rate.
In other words, you have to look at different factors to determine whose economy is rockin’ like a Taylor Swift song, and whose economy sucks.
You have to understand the reasons of why and how certain events like an increase in the unemployment rate affects a country’s economy and monetary policy which ultimately, affects the level of demand for its currency.
The idea behind this type of analysis is that if a country’s current or future economic outlook is good, their currency should strengthen.
The better shape a country’s economy is, the more foreign businesses and investors will invest in that country. This results in the need to purchase that country’s currency to obtain those assets.
In a nutshell, this is what fundamental analysis is:
For example, let’s say that the U. S. dollar has been gaining strength because the U. S. economy is improving.
Higher interest rates make dollar-denominated financial assets more attractive.
In order to get their hands on these lovely assets, traders and investors have to buy some greenbacks first. As a result, the value of the dollar will likely increase.
Later on in the course, you will learn which economic data points tends to drive currency prices, and why they do so.
But for now, just know that fundamental analysis is a way of analyzing the potential moves of a currency through the strength or weakness of that country’s economic outlook. It’s going to be awesome, we promise!
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Traders pay close attention to economic indicators which can have a direct, and somewhat predictable, effect on the value of a nation's currency in the forex market.
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A trading strategy can offer benefits such as consistency of positive outcomes, and error minimization. An optimal trading strategy reflects the trader’s objective and personal approach.
Fundamental traders watch interest rates, employment reports, and other economic indicators trying to forecast market trends.
Technical analysts track historical prices, and traded volumes in an attempt to identify market trends. They rely on graphs and charts to plot this information and identify repeating patterns as a means to signal future buy and sell opportunities.
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I am requesting that you do a manual review of the organic results on "chinook boot dryers"
I am requesting that you do a manual review of the organic results on "chinook boot dryers", and many other "boot dryer" and "boot dryers" keywords. First there is not much variety being displayed, since the search results are almost ALL going to websites controlled by the same guy who has built the following websites, and interlinked them together and crowded out all of the other possible search results:
+ his pages on Amazon (note the seller is SEA Products, which is the same guy who runs all of the above websites. Scott E Allen.)
You can verify this by looking at the phone numbers and addresses on the above websites, plus all of the sites look like each other.
This seems very spammy and NOT a good representation of Yahoo's stellar results. Also, it sends the signal to others that all you need to do is build out 5-6 ****** websites, link them together and take over the top search results. which isn't fair to other operators or customers trying to find the best products.
Another interesting thing about the results for "chinook boot dryers" is the fact that this guy has the domain chinookbootdryer, and that he is NOT the manufacturer of Chinook Boot Dryers but his organic listing is being treated with domain authority as though he was the manufacturer. We spoke to the actual manufacturer and found out that this guy is only one of many of their dealers and does not work for the company or have any affiliation with them in any way. You can verify this by calling the manufacturer yourself. Their number is 203-366-3840.
We have researched many other "boot dryer" keyword results and have noted that his websites are ALL dominant and taking up almost all of the page 1 organic search results.
We hope you do the right thing and don't reward this behaviour, since the rest of us are trying to stick to Yahoo's guidelines and play by the rules. with one website.
Thanks for your consideration and support!
I am requesting that you do a manual review of the organic results on "chinook boot dryers", and many other "boot dryer" and "boot dryers" keywords. First there is not much variety being displayed, since the search results are almost ALL going to websites controlled by the same guy who has built the following websites, and interlinked them together and crowded out all of the other possible search results:
+ his pages on Amazon (note the seller is SEA Products, which is the same guy who runs all of the above websites. Scott… more.
I can't sign into my account because I don't have access to the phone number it's linked to anymore.
I can't sign into my main account because I no longer have access to the phone number it's linked to. How can I sign in with the old password system? Having no other option to sign in other than the "secure" way is stupid and is upsetting when I need to access my from my computer! I'm logged in on my new device but I have no access from my desktop where I need access it from.
Stock screener crashes.
choice to remove real names and birthdays from account to stop hackers from stealing names.
choice to remove real name and real birthdays from list account to stop hackers from Identity theft.
Some downloads on the internet are linked to a Yahoo hijack of Firefox and Chrome browsers where searches are redirected to Yahoo search.
Some downloads on the internet are linked to a Yahoo hijack of Firefox and Chrome browsers where searches are redirected to Yahoo search. This has to be damaging your reputation. You need to take steps to stop this from happening.
should be able to go dir. to the program I am referencing.
New House Hunter Intl. do not tell what job the couple has, relating to their new location;; also filing does not always show each room in house/apt.
Inquiring minds want to know!!
fix broken search functionality.
You can improve by making it work as advertised.
And to be better restore lost functionality from say, 5 or more years ago.
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